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Saturday, October 17, 2026 · UTC
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2010 RF12 has highest impact probability on NASA Sentry list Oct 16 2026

NASA/JPL CNEOS published updated cumulative Earth impact risk readings for tracked asteroids 16 October 2026.

Caleb Mbeki
Planetary Science Reporter
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Stands on 9 placed sources from 1 publisher and 1 first-party instrument reading.
Asteroid 2010 RF12 poses significant Earth impact risk
Asteroid 2010 RF12 poses significant Earth impact risk AI illustrationhow this picture was made
PASADENA, United States, Oct 16, 2026 - Asteroid 2010 RF12 carries the highest cumulative Earth impact probability on the NASA Sentry impact-risk list, at 0.102637 [1]. NASA/JPL CNEOS published the full set of updated readings 16 October 2026. Also listed are 2017 WT28 at 0.011544, 101955 Bennu at 0.0005717, 2025 BA1 at 0.00035416, 2024 TK5 at 0.0003347, 2021 GX9, 2019 VB37 and 2022 PX1 [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8]. Russian scientist Elena Yeleneva named 101955 Bennu among three asteroids considered the most dangerous to Earth [9]. Space Nugget. Cumulative impact probability figures state the total calculated chance of an Earth strike for the object.
Proof9 sources · 2 publishers · signed
What this stands on
  1. (2010 RF12) is on the NASA Sentry impact-risk list with a cumulative Earth-impact probability of 0.102637 (2026-10-16). · DRM3 Sentry impact risk the fact record
  2. 101955 Bennu (1999 RQ36) is on the NASA Sentry impact-risk list with a cumulative Earth-impact probability of 0.0005717 (2026-10-16). · DRM3 Sentry impact risk the fact record
  3. (2021 GX9) is on the NASA Sentry impact-risk list with a cumulative Earth-impact probability of 8.22235e-05 (2026-10-16). · DRM3 Sentry impact risk the fact record
  4. (2017 WT28) is on the NASA Sentry impact-risk list with a cumulative Earth-impact probability of 0.011544 (2026-10-16). · DRM3 Sentry impact risk the fact record
  5. (2024 TK5) is on the NASA Sentry impact-risk list with a cumulative Earth-impact probability of 0.0003347 (2026-10-16). · DRM3 Sentry impact risk the fact record
  6. (2022 PX1) is on the NASA Sentry impact-risk list with a cumulative Earth-impact probability of 3.231e-06 (2026-10-16). · DRM3 Sentry impact risk the fact record
  7. (2025 BA1) is on the NASA Sentry impact-risk list with a cumulative Earth-impact probability of 0.00035416 (2026-10-16). · DRM3 Sentry impact risk the fact record
  8. (2019 VB37) is on the NASA Sentry impact-risk list with a cumulative Earth-impact probability of 5.69787e-05 (2026-10-16). · DRM3 Sentry impact risk the fact record
  9. Russian scientist Elena Yeleneva identified three asteroids-(29075) 1950 DA, (101955) Bennu, and 2008 JL3-as the most dangerous to Earth. · Lenta.ruRussia
Part of this reads the Sentry impact risk record directly. The publishers publish from Russia. None of the publishers is an official body: that part stands on reporting, not on the underlying document or transcript.